Parma vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
PES
2 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 2
REG
48%
29%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 2
PIS
42%
31%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
REG
0 - 2
PAR
31%
32%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 2
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
53%
30%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
USF
1 - 0
COM
34%
33%
32%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
COM
0 - 2
ANC
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
COM
1 - 2
TRI
60%
27%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |