Parma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
ROM
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOR
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |