PSG vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
PSG
4 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PSG
7 - 0
WAA
88%
9%
4%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
LHA
0 - 9
PSG
7%
14%
79%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PSG
2 - 0
BVB
52%
21%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
LYO
1 - 5
PSG
23%
22%
56%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 1
AND
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ASS
4 - 0
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
ASS
4 - 1
NIC
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
ASS
4 - 1
RVA
87%
11%
3%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 1
GIR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |