Paris II vs Vitry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
12º
11º
37
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
BRE
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
PAR
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
LMR
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VTR
1 - 2
BRE
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LMR
1 - 3
VTR
28%
22%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VTR
1 - 1
LUL
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 1
VTR
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 2
LMU
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |