Parham vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
HOP
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 3
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 1
PAR
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
ALL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 4
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GOL
0 - 5
SAP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ORO
2 - 0
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAP
5 - 1
ALL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 1
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |