Parham vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VLI
1 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
PAR
7 - 0
FRE
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 0
FRE
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
HOP
6 - 0
PAR
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
4 - 1
ALL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SAP
4 - 0
ORO
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JEU
0 - 2
SAP
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SAP
4 - 2
EGF
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SAP
2 - 2
HOP
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 4
SAP
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |