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23 OCT 2011 06:15

Full-time

Parham vs Pigotts Bullets analysis


33	ELO	29
0.7%	Tilt	10%
10867º	General ELO ranking	9475º
7º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

56.7%

Parham

21.6%

Draw

21.7%

Pigotts Bullets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

56.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%

21.6%

Draw

0-0

4.4%

1-1

10%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

21.6%

21.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-69%

-2%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parham

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
16 Oct. 2011	PAR 1 - 2 ALL 52% 23% 25%	32	32	0
05 Feb. 2011	SAP 0 - 5 PAR 46% 23% 31%	32	30	2
30 Jan. 2011	PAR 6 - 0 EGF 52% 23% 25%	32	32	0
26 Jan. 2011	PAR 0 - 1 SEA 52% 23% 25%	32	32	0
23 Jan. 2011	PAR 0 - 0 VLI 53% 23% 24%	32	32	0

Matches

Pigotts Bullets

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Oct. 2011	PBU 0 - 1 SEA 44% 24% 32%	29	32	3	0