Parham vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRY
0 - 1
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
HOP
1 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +14 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
EGF
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
PBU
4 - 3
PAR
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ORO
2 - 0
VLI
68%
17%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
HOP
2 - 1
ORO
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 1
ORO
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +7 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PBU
0 - 2
ORO
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ORO
3 - 0
SAP
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |