Parham vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
PBU
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
HOP
2 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 5
PAR
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 4
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FIV
1 - 6
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 2
ORO
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 3
ORO
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ORO
1 - 2
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
ORO
2 - 2
EGF
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ORO
2 - 2
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |