Parham vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 4
HOP
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PTI
3 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 3
VLI
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 2
JEU
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 0
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ORO
2 - 0
ALL
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 0
ORO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORO
4 - 1
GOL
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
ORO
11 - 5
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VLI
2 - 0
ORO
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |