Parham vs Empire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
PBU
4 - 3
PAR
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
GRE
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
ORO
2 - 2
PAR
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRY
1 - 0
PAR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
SWE
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EGF
1 - 2
TRY
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EGF
1 - 3
FIV
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
EGF
0 - 4
GRE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 1
EGF
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ORO
0 - 2
EGF
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |