PIF vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
45.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
12º
12º
20
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
EPF
2 - 0
PIF
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PIF
2 - 2
FCJ
21%
18%
61%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 0
PIF
74%
14%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PIF
1 - 2
TAM
47%
20%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PIF
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ILV
3 - 0
PII
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HJS
1 - 5
ILV
58%
20%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
EPF
4 - 1
ILV
47%
21%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 6
FCJ
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -3 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GRI
2 - 1
ILV
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |