Parets vs Molletense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CEP
3 - 1
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
SBD
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
USP
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
AME
2 - 5
PAR
7%
12%
82%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
EBA
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Molletense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 0
TRO
37%
26%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 2
MOL
48%
25%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ROD
0 - 4
MOL
37%
27%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MOL
3 - 1
MAT
13%
21%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
MOL
71%
18%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |