Parets vs Lourdes A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
PAR
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SEU
0 - 3
PAR
38%
22%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
USC
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
PSP
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOU
6 - 4
SEU
49%
20%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
USC
2 - 0
LOU
42%
22%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
PAR
65%
18%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PSP
2 - 3
LOU
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
5 - 1
AAS
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |