USC Paredes vs Fafe analysis

USC Paredes Fafe
41 ELO 33
-30.7% Tilt -31.1%
4731º General ELO ranking 4113º
82º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
59.7%
USC Paredes
23.3%
Draw
17%
Fafe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
USC Paredes
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
Fafe
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
USC Paredes
+32%
+3%
Fafe

Points and table prediction

USC Paredes
Their league position
Fafe
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
25
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Felgueiras 1932
44
44
100%
Vilaverdense FC
40
40
100%
AD Sanjoanense
36
36
100%
Sporting Braga II
35
35
100%
Varzim
33
33
100%
Canelas 2010
30
30
100%
São João Ver
29
29
100%
USC Paredes
28
28
100%
Fafe
25
25
100%
Anadia
10º
23
23
10º
100%
Montalegre
11º
21
21
11º
100%
Vitória Guimarães B
12º
12
12
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
USC Paredes
Fafe
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

USC Paredes
Fafe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

USC Paredes
USC Paredes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
ANA
Anadia
0 - 1
USC Paredes
PAR
40%
27%
33%
41 36 5 0
23 Jan. 2023
BRA
Sporting Braga II
0 - 1
USC Paredes
PAR
61%
23%
17%
41 42 1 0
13 Jan. 2023
PAR
USC Paredes
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
56%
23%
21%
41 30 11 0
08 Jan. 2023
PAR
USC Paredes
2 - 0
Canelas 2010
CAN
43%
30%
28%
40 39 1 +1
17 Dec. 2022
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
5 - 1
USC Paredes
PAR
72%
18%
10%
42 48 6 -2

Matches

Fafe
Fafe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
FAF
Fafe
0 - 2
Canelas 2010
CAN
45%
25%
30%
33 37 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
3 - 2
Fafe
FAF
83%
12%
5%
34 48 14 -1
06 Jan. 2023
FAF
Fafe
0 - 1
Varzim
VAR
12%
23%
65%
34 57 23 0
18 Dec. 2022
SAO
São João Ver
2 - 1
Fafe
FAF
55%
23%
22%
35 39 4 -1
03 Dec. 2022
MON
Montalegre
2 - 0
Fafe
FAF
37%
25%
39%
37 30 7 -2