USC Paredes vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
25
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
VSC
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
FAF
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FAF
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |