Parceiro Nagano vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis

Parceiro Nagano Giravanz Kitakyushu
56 ELO 66
-1.4% Tilt -7%
3665º General ELO ranking 2455º
68º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
26.2%
Parceiro Nagano
26.5%
Draw
47.3%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
Parceiro Nagano
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.3%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Parceiro Nagano
Their league position
Giravanz Kitakyushu
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
17º
16º
30
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vanraure Hachinohe
43
72
35.5%
Tochigi City
44
72
24%
Osaka
41
69
32.5%
Kagoshima United
35
63
20.5%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
35
61
18.5%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
30
55
15%
Fukushima United
10º
27
55
14%
Matsumoto Yamaga
11º
26
54
9%
Nara Club
31
53
11%
Gainare Tottori
28
53
10º
11.5%
Zweigen Kanazawa
12º
26
48
11º
10.5%
Sagamihara
14º
24
47
12º
11.5%
Kochi United
28
47
13º
8%
Ryūkyū
16º
23
45
14º
7.5%
Thespa Gunma
13º
24
43
15º
11%
Parceiro Nagano
15º
24
43
16º
11.5%
Tochigi
17º
23
42
17º
10%
Gifu
19º
19
41
18º
11.5%
Kamatamare Sanuki
18º
20
36
19º
23%
Azul Claro Numazu
20º
18
35
20º
31%
Expected probabilities
Parceiro Nagano
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Promotion
0% 1%
Promotion play-offs
0.5% 30%
Mid-table
83.5% 68.5%
Relegation play-offs
9% 0.5%
Relegation
7% 0%

ELO progression

Parceiro Nagano
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Azul Claro Numazu
Vanraure Hachinohe
Ryūkyū
Nara Club
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parceiro Nagano
Parceiro Nagano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
PAR
Parceiro Nagano
1 - 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
24%
25%
51%
57 66 9 0
12 Jul. 2025
THE
Thespa Gunma
0 - 0
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
40%
28%
32%
57 58 1 0
06 Jul. 2025
PAR
Parceiro Nagano
0 - 0
Osaka
OSA
22%
26%
52%
56 69 13 +1
29 Jun. 2025
KUS
Kochi United
1 - 0
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
47%
27%
27%
56 59 3 0
21 Jun. 2025
KAM
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 - 1
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
44%
27%
29%
56 58 2 0

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2025
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 - 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
47%
26%
27%
64 65 1 0
16 Jul. 2025
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
66%
22%
13%
64 82 18 0
12 Jul. 2025
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 3
Tochigi City
TCF
35%
28%
38%
64 67 3 0
05 Jul. 2025
NAR
Nara Club
4 - 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
33%
28%
40%
65 61 4 -1
28 Jun. 2025
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 2
Gainare Tottori
GAI
45%
27%
28%
66 59 7 -1