Paraná vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAR
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
LON
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OES
3 - 3
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAM
45%
28%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
NAU
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 0
BAH
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 3
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 2
LON
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |