Paraná vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
PAR
1 - 1
SCI
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
PAL
4 - 1
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1994 |
PAR
0 - 1
SCI
48%
22%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
NAU
0 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAL
25%
30%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
FLU
3 - 1
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAU
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |