Paraná vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
CIA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
ICA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 4
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHA
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
PRU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PRU
0 - 2
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
JTF
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PST
0 - 2
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |