Paraná vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 1
GOI
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 1
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
PPE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 3
FLU
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FLU
0 - 2
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |