Paraná vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
LON
2 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PST
0 - 1
PAR
11%
17%
73%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
JMA
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
22%
25%
54%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COT
1 - 0
PAR
67%
20%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 1
TUB
78%
17%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
FFL
8%
17%
76%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
4 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |