Paraná vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
TUP
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
CRI
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LON
0 - 1
AVA
37%
30%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
30%
29%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |