Paraná vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 0
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 2
PAR
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LON
3 - 1
ACP
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
3 - 4
ACP
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
CIA
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ATP
0 - 0
ACP
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +1 |