Paraná vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CEA
0 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 0
ABC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRB
3 - 3
ABC
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |