Paraná vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
GRÊ
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
PPE
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
ICA
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ASA
4 - 3
ABC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
ABC
26%
27%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |