Paraná vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
IFC
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ATL
5 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
ABC
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 4
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
IFC
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |