Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 2
PER
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
PER
0 - 2
PAR
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COL
5 - 1
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
URU
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
URU
5 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |