Paradou vs Mohammadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MSP
1 - 0
PAR
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
USM
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
USM
0 - 2
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
OLY
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
KOU
1 - 1
PAR
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MOH
4 - 1
USB
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
5 - 3
MOH
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
OLY
0 - 0
MOH
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
MOH
1 - 0
USM
30%
30%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
MOH
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |