Paradou vs JSM Chéraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
DRE
0 - 1
PAR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 2
HAR
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
REG
1 - 4
PAR
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 2
MSP
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
USM
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
JSM Chéraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
SET
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
KOU
2 - 1
CHE
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
MOB
1 - 0
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
ARZ
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
CAB
4 - 2
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |