Paradise vs Sunsetters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.2%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
2º
1º
7
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 47 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 28 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 10 |
9º
|
85.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 6 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
QPR
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
MRI
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
PAR
6%
12%
82%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
15 - 0
HAP
87%
9%
5%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
65%
17%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunsetters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
MRI
9%
13%
78%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAP
2 - 5
STR
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
PAR
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 0
STR
88%
8%
3%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
HAR
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |