Paradise vs Camerhogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
2º
1º
24
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 47 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 28 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 10 |
9º
|
85.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 6 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
PAR
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 2
HRC
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
JOH
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
QPR
0 - 4
PAR
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 2
PAR
27%
21%
53%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Camerhogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HRC
2 - 0
FCC
8%
15%
77%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
JOH
1 - 1
FCC
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 1
MRI
58%
19%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
FCC
58%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |