Paradise vs Boca Juniors St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
FON
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
JOH
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BJP
0 - 0
MRI
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
QPR
5 - 2
BJP
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
BJP
55%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
BJP
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BJP
0 - 5
HAR
51%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |