Paradela vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+625%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LAJ
1 - 1
PAR
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
POR
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
MON
37%
22%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
BEC
47%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SLU
6 - 4
OUR
31%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 2
SLU
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 0
ANT
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TER
3 - 2
SLU
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SLU
0 - 0
QUI
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |