Paracuellos vs Azucarera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracuellos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
EMB
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AGR
5 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
CDC
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 3
PAR
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
ANI
44%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Azucarera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 0
CER
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
TER
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
5 - 0
EMB
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AGR
2 - 0
AZU
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
4 - 2
CDC
66%
17%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |