Paracatu vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEG
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BDF
1 - 1
BSE
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
LEG
2 - 0
BDF
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |