Para Hills Knights vs Port Adelaide Lion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NEM
3 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
4 - 2
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
WAD
10%
18%
72%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAP
3 - 1
PAR
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
WHI
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Port Adelaide Lion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 4
WAD
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 2
PAL
19%
21%
61%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
WHI
64%
18%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 1
PAL
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 6
ADE
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |