Para Hills Knights vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
ADE
3 - 1
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADE
46%
25%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
WES
64%
20%
17%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ADG
0 - 1
PAR
39%
24%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 10
NEM
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAM
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
ADE
8 - 0
MOD
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 3
ADE
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 0
MOD
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |