Para Hills Knights vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 2
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 1
CRO
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
ADE
1 - 2
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 0
WHI
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NEM
1 - 2
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 0
ADE
9%
18%
73%
|
17 | 58 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
ADG
1 - 0
MOD
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 1
ADE
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 0
CAM
22%
24%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 3
MOD
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |