Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Comets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
MOD
48%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
NEM
10%
18%
73%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +4 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
ADE
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 4
WES
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 2
ADE
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 2
WES
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 3
ADE
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ADE
2 - 1
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |