Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Comets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
PAR
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
WES
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ADE
2 - 3
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 3
CRO
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
WES
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ADE
3 - 0
ADE
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
ADE
0 - 3
CRO
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ADE
2 - 2
CAM
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ENF
1 - 5
ADE
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 0
CUM
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |