Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Comets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 4
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 4
NEM
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADE
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ENF
2 - 0
ADE
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
ADE
60%
20%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ADE
2 - 3
ADE
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
ADE
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ADE
2 - 1
WES
52%
22%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |