Papiol vs Abrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papiol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
PAP
2 - 2
FLL
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COR
3 - 2
PAP
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PAP
2 - 1
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OMO
3 - 2
PAP
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAP
1 - 0
SES
41%
23%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Abrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
CER
5 - 2
ABR
18%
20%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ABR
2 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
ABR
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ABR
4 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SVV
1 - 4
ABR
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |