Pafos vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DOX
1 - 0
PAF
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAF
3 - 0
AYI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ENO
1 - 1
PAF
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PAF
1 - 0
NEA
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ANO
5 - 1
PAF
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AYI
1 - 0
ETH
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ETH
1 - 1
NEA
42%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLY
3 - 1
ETH
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ETH
1 - 1
OMO
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
APO
2 - 0
ETH
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |