Pafos vs Doxa Katokopias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
12
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 1
PAF
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PAF
3 - 1
AEL
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
PAF
3 - 0
KAR
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAF
2 - 1
DOX
74%
16%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
PAF
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOX
1 - 3
AEZ
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 2
AEK
16%
25%
59%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
DOX
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
AEL
30%
30%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAF
2 - 1
DOX
74%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |