Pafos vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
1º
1º
43
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
PAF
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
PAF
1 - 0
AST
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 0
OMO
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
OMM
1 - 2
PAF
12%
24%
64%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
PAF
0 - 1
HEI
30%
24%
47%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
APO
4 - 0
AEL
65%
23%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
FIO
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
APO
0 - 0
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
APO
2 - 0
ANO
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
BBL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |