Papatam vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papatam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
WUN
1 - 1
PAP
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PAP
3 - 0
SLE
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAP
4 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAP
2 - 1
TAH
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ACO
0 - 1
PAP
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 0
BOM
83%
11%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FLO
2 - 4
SFC
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SFC
4 - 1
ACO
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
WUN
1 - 1
SFC
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
TOK
36%
21%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |