Papamoa vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
83.5%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papamoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 2
PFC
27%
21%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PFC
3 - 2
EAF
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PFC
2 - 1
PAP
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
OFC
2 - 0
PFC
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BIR
5 - 1
PFC
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HAW
2 - 0
EAS
34%
23%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAK
66%
17%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
WES
1 - 5
HAW
34%
21%
45%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 1
HAW
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 2
BIR
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |