Papamoa vs Ellerslie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papamoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PFC
2 - 1
PAP
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
OFC
2 - 0
PFC
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BIR
5 - 1
PFC
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
PFC
1 - 0
BAO
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Ellerslie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
AUC
7 - 0
EAF
91%
6%
2%
|
10 | 67 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 4
EAF
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 1
EAF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NGA
6 - 0
EAF
71%
17%
13%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
EAF
3 - 4
MEL
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |