Papakura City vs Gisborne Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papakura City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
WCR
9 - 0
PAP
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
3 - 3
RSF
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 1
PAP
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PAP
3 - 3
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | +7 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PAP
3 - 1
OFC
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gisborne Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
GTF
1 - 2
HNW
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |