PAOK vs Kastoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAO
3 - 0
ARI
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
HAL
1 - 2
PAO
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAO
2 - 0
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PAN
3 - 0
PAO
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
DVS
0 - 0
PAO
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kastoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AHA
1 - 0
KAS
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
KAS
1 - 0
ROD
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2003 |
ILI
0 - 2
KAS
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
KAS
4 - 1
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LYK
0 - 2
KAS
35%
30%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |